Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 158.567352 181.786492 207.786773 239.162531 276.135522 318.483830 370.896854
2025-11-02 127.093818 157.165418 193.931219 242.591516 305.900692 386.299607 497.444401
2025-11-09 109.331188 142.488263 185.600608 246.562630 331.837789 448.837230 624.940954
2025-11-16 95.652108 129.886068 176.612384 246.280768 349.660534 500.893042 745.532730
2025-11-23 85.190132 119.734188 168.856628 245.496121 365.197524 550.485021 870.236880
2025-11-30 77.651839 112.526759 163.967741 247.579874 384.432298 607.655414 1017.079291
2025-12-07 68.855166 102.305914 153.153160 238.660129 384.225756 632.465224 1112.352441
2025-12-14 62.819616 95.570944 146.797867 235.797474 393.182552 673.518445 1244.463215
2025-12-21 58.875161 91.655494 144.380583 238.976266 412.714799 736.042012 1430.549381
2025-12-28 56.769298 90.448663 146.172095 249.480215 446.766899 831.058120 1704.266165
2026-01-04 54.055879 87.926127 145.403617 255.171567 472.392073 913.709744 1970.700921
2026-01-11 50.539185 83.683739 141.175336 253.842783 483.880698 969.019589 2187.240247
2026-01-18 48.078845 81.401329 140.811291 261.101048 516.687967 1082.277424 2593.082005
2026-01-25 45.283224 78.290867 138.687724 264.840805 543.369658 1189.301196 3023.583592
2026-02-01 42.870993 75.614226 137.034491 269.233968 572.221236 1308.066249 3529.618501
2026-02-08 40.181763 72.136624 133.419037 268.921932 590.159732 1403.986990 4004.810441
2026-02-15 37.715841 68.843318 129.795596 268.053471 606.587970 1499.940629 4518.592663
2026-02-22 35.804747 66.450340 127.728089 270.359895 631.303522 1624.663161 5182.666961
2026-03-01 32.954073 61.928230 120.784812 260.489159 623.032341 1653.628789 5516.907041
2026-03-08 30.960955 58.979946 116.885908 257.322516 632.050863 1736.463792 6094.858705
2026-03-15 29.692558 57.415303 115.807339 260.838903 660.037600 1885.440305 7013.952371
2026-03-22 29.136331 57.291373 117.874173 272.463574 713.330337 2131.716308 8491.487561
2026-03-29 28.209071 56.289172 117.857627 278.765413 752.426607 2342.381550 9937.617878